很高兴在美好的春天里与大家相聚宁静的博鳌小镇,共同思考世界大变局与亚洲未来。
新年伊始,世界局势陡然生变,政治、安全、经济、科技等因素相互交织、相互作用,国际秩序面临全新挑战,不稳定、不确定因素增多。2025年将是各方共迎挑战、谋求转型的一年。
当下,如何在世界巨变中主动塑造亚洲未来,成为摆在亚洲国家面前重大而急迫的任务。
首先,亚洲国家需要共谋和平发展,携手推动平等有序的世界多极化。亚洲应共同促进各方劝和促谈,停火止战,恢复和平。传承“万隆精神”,坚持协商对话,通过政治方式和平解决国际争端,做共同安全的维护者。携手国际社会求解安全公约数,在联合国引领下合作重建国际安全秩序,各国平等相待,共谋发展。
其次,亚洲国家需要抓住新一轮产业革命契机,加快现代化进程。数字技术、人工智能和清洁能源等绿色技术掀起全球新一轮科技革命和产业变革。得益于人口规模、后发优势以及制度创新,亚洲多国已走在数字经济和绿色经济前列。亚洲需要加大在数字技术和人工智能应用上的投入和国际合作,让新质生产力为可持续发展赋能。亚洲已成为全球绿色转型的推动者和受益者,东亚、南亚、中亚、西亚可以在资金、技术、产能和市场上形成合力,加快形成绿色能源产业链和中长期绿色投资伙伴关系。
第三,亚洲国家需要积极推动区域经济一体化,塑造普惠包容的经济全球化。亚洲国家需要共同反对单边主义和贸易保护主义,坚持真正的多边主义。坚持消除贸易壁垒,推进要素自由流动,推进数字贸易和服务贸易发展,加强基础设施互联互通,夯实区域经济一体化基础。深入推进RCEP、CPTPP等自由贸易协定的落实和扩员,推动重塑多边贸易体系和规则,为全球化再平衡注入内生动力。
第四,亚洲国家需要发挥人力资本优势,成为共创美好未来的不竭动力。亚洲需要把巨大的人口资源转化成强有力的人力资本优势,发挥好青年创造力,培养面向未来、适应未来的劳动者队伍,提升亚洲劳动生产率。同时,主动将人口老龄化压力转化为新发展动能,进一步提升人力资源的开发利用。
2025年是中国“十四五”规划收官之年,中国式现代化将迈出新的坚实步伐。中国将进一步全面深化改革,扩大高水平对外开放。实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策,大力提振消费,提高投资效益,全方位扩大内需。继续扎实推进重点领域改革,以更加公平、更有活力的市场环境促进民营经济发展,激发各类市场主体活力。稳步扩大制度型开放,有序扩大自主开放和单边开放,以开放促改革促发展。中国正在以责任和勇气回应世界诉求,继续给全球带来稳定性和确定性。
博鳌亚洲论坛立足亚洲、胸怀世界,促进合作、引领方向,是国际高端对话和合作平台。论坛年会将围绕大变局之下的亚洲合作,与各方携手实现可持续发展,以区域经济一体化进程对冲全球化逆风,把握方向,增强信任。期盼大家在年会共同探寻“亚洲方案”,发出“亚洲声音”,合力构建亚洲和人类命运共同体。■
It is a pleasure to gather with all of you here in peaceful Boao to discuss the future of Asia and the great changes now underway in the world.
Since the start of the year, the global situation has undergone significant changes,with political, security, economic and technological factors intertwining and interacting in complex ways. The international order is facing unprecedented challenges, and instability and uncertainty are on the rise. This year will be a crucial period in which all parties must navigate these challenges and pursue transformation.
Amid these global changes, shaping the future of Asia has become a major and urgent task for Asian countries.
First, Asian countries need to collaborate in promoting peaceful development and advancing a fair and orderly multipolar world. Asia should actively encourage all parties involved in conflicts to engage in peace talks, cease hostilities, and restore harmony. By carrying forward the “Bandung Spirit,” Asia should adhere to consultation and dialogue, resolve international disputes peacefully through political means, and act as a guardian of collective security. It should work with the international community to find common ground on security and cooperate under the leadership of the United Nations to rebuild the international security order, ensuring equality among nations and shared development.
Second, Asian countries must seize the opportunities of a new industrial revolution and accelerate modernization. Digital technology, AI, and green technologies such as clean energy are driving a new wave of technological and industrial transformation worldwide. Benefiting from their large populations, late-mover advantages, and institutional innovations, many Asian countries are already taking the lead in the digital and green economies. Asia needs to increase investment in digital technology and AI applications, as well as international cooperation in these areas, to empower sustainable development with new productive forces. Asia has become both a driver and beneficiary of the global green transition. Countries across the continent can leverage their combined strengths in capital, technology, production capacity, and markets to establish a green energy industry chain and develop medium- to long-term green investment partnerships.
Third, Asian countries need to actively promote regional economic integration and shape an inclusive and beneficial form of economic globalization. They must jointly oppose unilateralism and trade protectionism and must uphold genuine multilateralism. Efforts should be made to eliminate trade barriers, facilitate the free flow of resources, promote digital trade and trade in services, strengthen infrastructure connectivity, and lay a solid foundation for regional economic integration. Further implementation and expansion of free trade agreements such as the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership and the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership should be pursued to reshape multilateral trade systems, injecting new momentum into the rebalancing of globalization.
Fourth, Asian countries must leverage their human capital advantages to become an inexhaustible driving force for a shared future. Asia needs to transform its vast population into a strong human capital advantage, harnessing the creativity of young people, cultivating a future-oriented and adaptable workforce, and enhancing labor productivity across the continent. At the same time, the challenges brought by aging populations should be transformed into new drivers of development to improve the cultivation and utilization of human resources.
This is the final year of China’s 14th Five-Year Plan, during which China’s modernization will take significant new steps. The country will further deepen comprehensive reforms and expand high-level opening-up. It will implement more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies to boost consumption, enhance investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all aspects. China will continue to advance reforms in key sectors, foster a fairer and more dynamic market environment, promote the growth of the private economy, and invigorate various market entities. Institutional opening-up will be steadily expanded, with an orderly increase in unilateral and independent opening-up measures, using openness to drive reform and development. With responsibility and courage, China is responding to global expectations and continues to bring the world certainty and stability.
The Boao Forum for Asia, which is rooted in Asia yet possesses a global outlook, fosters cooperation and offers guidance as a high-level platform for international dialogue and collaboration. The forum’s annual conference will focus on Asian cooperation in a changing world, partnering with all stakeholders to attain sustainable development and counteracting the challenges to globalization through regional economic integration. It hopes to establish a clear trajectory and enhance mutual trust. We anticipate finding Asian solutions together, enhancing Asian voices, and collectively building a community with a shared future for Asia and all of humanity. ■